SkyNRG on June 5 released its fifth Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook. The report, developed in collaboration with ICF, highlights the need to scale up technologies and feedstocks that are an alternative to hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids (HEFA) fuels.&nbsp;The report predicts that global sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) demand will reach 2 million metric tons this year, supported by new SAF mandates in the European Union and U.K. SAF demand could increase to more than 15 million metric tons by 2030 and 40 million metric tons (13.2 billion gallons) by 2035, according to the report.&nbsp;Globally, approximately 82% of all announced SAF capacity up to 2030 is expected to utilize HEFA technology. According to the report, reliance on HEFA technology could restrict growth in the SAF industry due to limited availability of feedstock.&nbsp;In the U.S., SAF demand is expected to be shaped by a complex mix of federal policies, state-level fuel standards, financial incentives and voluntary demand. The report predicts U.S. SAF demand will range between 1.7 billion gallons and 3 billion gallons by 2030, depending on how federal- and state-level policies evolve.&nbsp;U.S. SAF production capacity is currently expected to reach 1.9 billion gallons per year by 2030, with 61% of announced projects expected to utilize HEFA technology and 24% of announced projects expected to utilize ethanol-to-jet technology. &nbsp;The report also addresses the potential for SAF production across the rest of the globe, with SAF capacity in the European Union and U.K.; Asia; and the rest of the world expected to reach 1.3 billion gallons, 1.9 billion gallons, and 1 billion gallons, respectively, by 2030.A full copy of the report is available on the SkyNRG <a href="https://skynrg.com/safmo25/">website</a>.&nbsp;

2025-06-10 - SkyNRG, ICF release 2025 SAF outlook (4 publications)

small_SkyNRGJune2025.jpg

thumbnail_SkyNRGJune2025.jpg

SkyNRGJune2025.jpg

SkyNRG on June 5 released its fifth Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook. The report, developed in collaboration with ICF, highlights the need to scale up technologies and feedstocks that are an alternative to HEFA fuels. 

SkyNRG, ICF release 2025 SAF outlook

Related Stories

June WASDE maintains outlook for 2025-’26 soybean oil use in biofuel production

USA BioEnergy secures long-term feedstocks supply for $2.8 billion SAF refinery in Texas

EIA: Total US biofuel capacity reaches 25 billion gallons in March

EPA reports fewer than expected biointermediate registrations

USDA: May WASDE predicts soybean oil use in biofuel will expand for 2025-‘26

Upcoming Events

North American SAF Conference & Expo

2026 International Biomass Conference & Expo

SkyNRG, ICF release 2025 SAF outlook.css-7jxktu{position:absolute;bottom:0px;left:0px;right:0px;height:3px;border-radius:3px;background-color:var(--chakra-colors-brandBlack);}