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EIA: July STEO maintains 2025, 2026 production forecasts for biobased diesel

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By Erin Krueger

July 10, 2025

Advanced Biofuels Business 

The U.S. Energy Information Administration maintained its forecast for 2025 and 2026 biodiesel, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, released July 8.

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XCF Global Inc. on July 10 shared its strategic plan to invest close to $1 billion in developing a network of SAF production facilities, expanding its U.S. footprint, and advancing its international growth strategy.

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U.S. fuel ethanol capacity fell slightly in April, while biodiesel and renewable diesel capacity held steady, according to data released by the U.S. EIA on June 30. Feedstock consumption was down when compared to the previous month.

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XCF Global Inc. on July 8 provided a production update on its flagship New Rise Reno facility, underscoring that the plant has successfully produced SAF, renewable diesel, and renewable naphtha during its initial ramp-up.

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EcoCeres Inc. has signed a multi-year agreement to supply British Airways with sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). The fuel will be produced from 100% waste-based biomass feedstock, such as used cooking oil (UCO).

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President Trump on July 4 signed the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act.” The legislation extends and updates the 45Z credit and revives a tax credit benefiting small biodiesel producers but repeals several other bioenergy-related tax incentives.

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SAF Magazine and the Commercial Aviation Alternative Fuels Initiative announced the preliminary agenda for the North American SAF Conference and Expo, being held Sept. 22-24 at the Minneapolis Convention Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

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Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. and Verso Energy on June 23 announced the signing of a new MOU to deepen their strategic collaboration. The agreement represents a major step forward in evaluating the development of an e-SAF project in Georgia.

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Saipem has been awarded an EPC contract by Enilive for the expansion of the company’s biorefinery in Porto Marghera, near Venice. The project will boost total nameplate capacity and enable the production of SAF.

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IATA releases SAF matchmaker to connect airlines and SAF suppliers

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By International Air Transport Association

July 02, 2025

International Air Transport Association has announced the release of the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Matchmaker platform, to facilitate SAF procurement between airlines and SAF producers by matching requests for SAF supply with offers.

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Alfanar on June 20 officially opened its new office in London, further reaffirming its continued investment in the U.K. The company is developing Lighthouse Green Fuels, a U.K.-based SAF project that is expected to be complete in 2029.

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ATR and French SAF aggregator ATOBA Energy on June 19 signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) to explore ways to facilitate and accelerate sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) adoption for ATR operators.

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Sumitomo Corp. has announced the launch of North Sky A/S, a joint venture with Skovgaard Energy to produce biogas and power-to-X business, such as e-SAF. The new company aims to produce around 40 million Nm³ of biogas.

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Greene Tweed, a global leader in advanced materials and high-performance solutions, has released results from a study confirming the compatibility of its fluorine-based elastomer seals with sustainable aviation fuels (SAF).

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GreenSinnergy GmbH and Axens have signed a MOU to explore the development of SAF projects in Argentina and across Latin America. This strategic collaboration aims to leverage Axens' advanced technologies and GreenSinnergy's project leadership.

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Luxaviation Group, a leading global operator in the business aviation sector, is exploring an active role in SAF Zero, a Haffner Energy initiative. Luxaviation’s role could include funding, offtake agreements and other forms of support.

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XCF Global Inc., the owner of a 38 MMgy SAF plant located near Reno, Nevada, on June 24 announced plans to license its integrated SAF platform. On June 26, the company signed a non-binding MOU an Australian company to develop SAF projects.

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Lufthansa Group announced it is entering into an agreement with Airbus in the field of more sustainable business travel via the “Sustainable Corporate Value Fare” program, which allows business customers reduce emissions with SAF.

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4AIR on June 24 announced a significant milestone: its Assure SAF Registry, a private blockchain-backed ledger and inventory management tool, has well surpassed 10 million gallons of SAF registered on the platform.

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The International Energy Agency in June published its World Energy Investment 2025 report, predicting that investment in liquid biofuels, biogases and low-emissions hydrogen will increase 30% this year to a record high of nearly $25 billion.

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The 2025 International Fuel Ethanol Workshop & Expo, held in Omaha, Nebraska, concluded with record-breaking participation and industry engagement, reinforcing its role as the largest and most influential gathering in the global ethanol sector.

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The U.S. EPA on June 18 announced 1.75 billion RINs were generated under the RFS in May, down from 2.07 billion that were generated during the same period of last year. Total RIN generation for the first five months of 2025 reached 9.06 billion.

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Blue Biofuels has annoucned the issuance of a new U.S. patent, further strengthening the company’s expanding intellectual property portfolio. This latest patent brings the company’s total number of granted patents to seven.

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Neste has reached an agreement with Amazon to provide 7,500 metric tons (2.5 million gallons) of neat Neste MY Sustainable Aviation Fuel for its Amazon Air cargo operations at two California airports through to the end of 2025.

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The Senate Finance Committee on June 17 released legislation that extends the 45Z credit but proposes changes that would cut the value of the credit by 20% for fuels made from imported feedstocks and alter the value of the credit for SAF.

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TotalEnergies has announced the company expects its facilities will be able to produce more than half a million tons of SAF a year by 2028 to cover the increase in the European SAF blending mandate, set at 6% for 2030.

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The California Assembly on May 23 voted 71 to zero in favor of a bill that aims to expedite the development of up to three SAF projects by allowing the governor to streamline legal challenges resulting from certain environmental review procedures.

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XCF Global Capital Inc., the owner of a 38 MMgy SAF plant located near Reno, Nevada, on June 6 announced the successful completion of its business combination with Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co., a special purpose acquisition company.

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Boeing will invest $17.48 million CAD to strengthen the energy security of Canada and bolster the country’s economic growth. The investments will promote the production of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF).

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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on June 12 committed to implementing upcoming changes to the 45Z clean fuel production credit “in the most robust way” and ensuring foreign actors do not have a backdoor into the program.

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